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US car sales analysis 2020 Q1-Q3 – Commercial Vans

Commercial van sales in the US are down 22% in the first three quarters of 2020, but sales recovered somewhat in Q3 when the segment matched the overall market in its 9% decline. Still, commercial vans now make up just 2.8% of the US car market, down from 3% last year. Small vans are down 17% this year, while full-sized vans are down 23%.

The Ford Transit sees an 11% drop in deliveries in Q2 and recovers to -20% for the year, but its nearest rival Chevrolet Express is down 33% in the quarter and 39% for the year so far. That model’s sibling GMC Savana is in even greater difficulty at -43% for the year, but it was down just 4% in the third quarter. The RAM ProMaster outsold the Express in Q3 with sales up 10% to claim second place of the segment but remains in third place  YTD with sales down 19%. The only nameplate to improve so far this year is the redesigned Mercedes-Benz Sprinter, up 24% in the first nine months and up 28% in Q3. It moved past the Ford E-Series which is down 22% for the year. The Nissan NV van is down 34% for the year (-39% in Q3), just as Nissan has announced production will end for the model which had a record year in 2019 but remains a niche player at just 3.5% share of the class.

In the compact commercial van part of the segment, which accounts for 18.6% of total van sales in the US (up from 17.6% in 2019), Ford also dominates with 46.2% share for the Transit Connect. Altogether, Ford has a 49.1% share of the commecial van market in the United States with its three models. The Nissan NV200 sees its deliveries decline by 11% after a 10% gain in Q3 and consolidates its second place ahead of the RAM ProMaster City, which is down 25% for the year but was actually up 1% in the third quarter. The Mercedes-Benz Metris saw stable sales in Q3 and is down 4% which makes it the best performer among small vans. Chevrolet has given up on this segment that will have only four players moving forward.

 

US commercial van sales 2020 Q1-Q3

Van segment 2020 2019 Change Share
1 Ford Transit 93.670 116.983 -20% 31,9%
2 Chevrolet Express 37.190 60.805 -39% 12,7%
3 Ram ProMaster 33.496 41.301 -19% 11,4%
4 Mercedes-Benz Sprinter 26.942 21.767 24% 9,2%
5 Ford Transit Connect 25.241 31.390 -20% 8,6%
6 Ford E-series 25.186 32.226 -22% 8,6%
7 Nissan NV200 12.752 14.311 -11% 4,3%
8 GMC Savana 12.009 21.090 -43% 4,1%
9 Nissan NV van 10.376 15.676 -34% 3,5%
10 Ram ProMaster City 7.438 9.952 -25% 2,5%
11 Mercedes-Benz Metris 6.829 7.078 -4% 2,3%
12 Chevrolet City Express 2.404 3.319 -28% 0,8%
Segment total 293.533 375.898 -22%

Source: Manufacturers.